Market Trends and the Future - Retail versus Learning and Development!

Useful insight in the papers over the last few days of current performance and prospects for the retail industry in the UK. It was interesting to read about Westfield – the new high end shopping complex built in Shepherds Bush. Westfield’s UK Managing Director suggests the first three months of their year had been ‘very scary’….but cites some impressive evidence that performance has stabilised. The SVP of Louis Vuitton says their performance has ‘surpassed all expectations’.
Elsewhere, PwC’s retail director is quoted as suggesting that the middle ground of retail is becoming increasingly tough. A good example would seem to be the off licence trade – First Quench having gone into administration just last week. At the premium end, the wine clubs and consultancy-based propositions of Majestic reign supreme, and at the volume end of the market the economies of scale which Sainsbury’s, Tesco et all can achieve simply cannot be matched. Hence very tough trading conditions for those caught in the middle.

I believe we are seeing exactly the same thing in the learning and development market. In our experience the requirement for senior executive alignment and development is as high as we have ever known. Just like alcoholic retailers, quality, breadth of offer and credible experience are no longer a competitive advantage at this level – they are a given.

There is also a significant shake-out happening in the development market at middle and junior management (which I would very loosely describe as beyond the top 500 in a FTSE business). We are hearing words like ‘flight to demonstrable quality’ and ‘evidence-based value for money’ from our clients – and rightly so. For too long our industry has been oversupplied and, to be frank, a little lazy. Which feels a good description of the shelves on my last trip to Oddbins.

It is not easy of course, but this recession will be the best thing that has happened to our industry when we emerge at the other side of our V (or W!) shape.