England, Coaching and the FIFA World Cup 2018

England is awash with commentary around how far we can go in the World Cup 2010. Whether we perform well or poorly this time, I am sorry to say the long term picture is bleak. 

I read a fascinating article last week in The Guardian International Edition. It referenced recent UEFA data linking the number of B, A and Pro badge Coaching Licence Holders (the very top football coaching qualifications) in each of the major European nations. The data is frightening. UEFA suggest that there are only 2,769 UEFA top level coaching badge holders in the UK. At the same time, Spain (many people's favourites for FIFA World Cup 2010) have 23,995, Italy 29,420, Germany 34,970 and France 17,558. This means that there is one UEFA coach for every 812 people playing the game in the UK, versus a ratio of 1:17 in Spain, 1:48 in Italy, 1:96 in France, 1:150 in Germany and even 1:135 in Greece!

Having played competitive football in the UK for a good nineteen years (and one year in Germany), I can certainly vouch for that ratio. I was lucky, in that I was coached at a good level in England by the Manager of my Under 11 to Under 18 side. He gave up countless weekends to challenge and support me and my team at equal measure...and gave the guys in our side who were good enough to chance to make the step up to semi pro level when he felt he had given us all he could. We were the only side he worked with - his ratio was 1:20 at most. We played many sides with far more talented players - and yet our team was the one with the strongest pathway to making football some sort of a career choice.

Like it or not, creating talent pathways in elite sport is in part a numbers game - both initial support and ongoing challenge have critical roles. Wayne Rooney only wears the Number 10 shirt for England because he was one of the lucky ones - not once, but twice. He was plucked out at an early age and given intensive, UEFA level support as part of Everton's system. Once he outgrew Everton, he made the timely switch to a club which could keep challenging him with Champions League Football. Again his career is not typical - there are regularly more Brazilians, French, Argentinians, Spanish, Portuguese, German and Turk players registered to play at Champions League level than English.

The data tells us that English domestic football is a mess. We might still earn the right to host  the World Cup in 2018, but we are not earning the right to win it. Oh, and by the way, you can be coached in art the taking of penalties....